Ma ka pō o ka hālāwai FOMC,ka cryptocurrencymākeke, ka mea e piʻi aʻe nei i kekahi mau lā i hala aku nei, ua hoʻololi ʻia.Ma hope o ka piʻi ʻana i $21,085 ma ka lā 29,Bitcoin (BTC)ua hāʻule i $20,237 i ka pō nei, a ua hōʻike ʻia ma ka $20,568 e like me ka lā palena, kokoke i 24 ʻO ka piʻi ʻana o ka hola he 0.52%;etera (ETH)aia ma $1,580, piʻi 1.56% i nā hola 24 i hala.
E hoʻolaha ka Fed i kāna hoʻoholo uku paneʻe ma 2:00 am Beijing manawa ma ka lā 3.Wahi a ka ʻikepili mai ka Fed Watch Tool o ka Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), ke manaʻo nei ka mākeke i kēia manawa e hoʻoholo ka Fed e hoʻonui i ka uku paneʻe e 3 iwilei i 3.75% i kēia pule.Loaʻa ka 87.2% o ka piʻi ʻana o 4.00% a me ka 12.8% o ka piʻi ʻana o 2-yard i ka 3.50% a 3.75%.
ʻO kekahi ʻikepili ʻē aʻe e pono ai ka nānā ʻana ʻo ia ka hoʻolaha ʻana o ʻAmelika i ka helu o nā uku uku ʻole no ʻOkakopa ma 20:30 Beijing manawa ma ka 4th.Wahi a FXStreet data, ka mākekei kēia manawamanaʻo e piʻi aʻe ka nui o nā uku uku ʻole i ka mahiʻai e 200,000, ʻoi aku ka haʻahaʻa ma mua o ka mea i hala Ua manaʻo ʻia ka piʻi ʻana o ka helu hana ʻole i 3.6% mai 3.5%.
Hiki ke piʻi aʻe nā kumukūʻai US inā piʻi ka uku paneʻe i 2 iwilei
Ma ka manawa like, e like me "Bloomberg", ua wānana ke keʻena kālepa o JPMorgan inā hoʻoholo ka Fed e hoʻonui i ka uku pānaʻi i 2 iwilei wale nō i kēia pule, ua hōʻike ʻo Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell (Jerome Powell) i kona makemake e ʻae i ka nūhou ma hope o ka hālāwai. ʻaha kūkā.Me ka hoʻonui kiʻekiʻe a me ka mākeke hana paʻa, hiki i ka S&P 500 ke piʻi ma kahi o 10% i ka lā hoʻokahi.
ʻO ka hui ʻo JPMorgan Chase, ʻo ia hoʻi ʻo Andrew Tyler, ka mea loiloi, i ʻōlelo ʻole ʻia i loko o kahi moʻolelo o ka mea kūʻai aku ma ka Pōʻakahi, ʻo ia ʻano hiʻohiʻona "ʻo ka liʻiliʻi loa" akā ʻo ia ka hopena "nui loa" no nā mea hoʻopukapuka kālā.I nā lā hoʻoholo Fed ʻeono i hala, ua piʻi ka S&P 500 i ʻehā mau manawa a hāʻule i ʻelua manawa.
Manaʻo ʻo JPMorgan e hoʻonui mau ka Fed i nā helu 3 ʻē aʻe i kēia pule, e like me ka wānana median o nā ʻekekema i koho ʻia e Bloomberg, a ʻike ka hui o Andrew Tyler i kahi haʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa o nā hiʻohiʻona ʻē aʻe.
E pili ana i ka wanana S&P 500, ua kākau ka hōʻike: Ke kuhi nei nā hopena i ka ʻaoʻao, no ka mea, ke manaʻoʻiʻo nei mākou he kumu maikaʻi ka mākeke e hoʻāʻo hou i nā haʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa i ka pule i hala ma muli o ka loaʻa ʻole o ka loaʻa ʻana o nā waihona ʻenehana nui, akā ke hoʻomau nei ka piʻi.ʻO ke kumu o ke kamaʻilio ʻana, e hoʻāʻo ana e ʻike ʻo wai ka mea kūʻai aku, a ke manaʻoʻiʻo nei mākou ua piʻi ka hopena / uku i ka ʻaoʻao.
Eia nā wānana a ka hui ʻo JPMorgan Chase no ke kuhikuhi ʻana o ka S&P 500 ma ka lā hoʻoholo Fed:
● 2 iwilei ka piʻi ʻana a me ka ʻaha kūkā paʻi ma hope o ka dovish: S&P 500 piʻi 10%-12%
● 2 iwilei ka piʻi ʻana a me ka hālāwai paʻi ma hope o ka hawk: S&P 500 piʻi 4% a i 5%
● 3 iwilei ka piʻi ʻana a me ka ʻaha kūkā paʻi ma hope o ka dovish (ʻelua paha paha): S&P 500 piʻi 2.5%-3%
● 3 iwilei ka piʻi ʻana a me ka ʻaha kūkā paʻi ma hope o ka hawkish (ʻoi loa paha): S&P 500 i lalo 1% no ka loaʻa ʻana o 0.5%
● 4 iwilei ka piʻi ʻana a me ka ʻaha kūkā paʻi ma hope o ka dovish: S&P 500 i lalo 4% a i 5%
● 4 iwilei ka piʻi ʻana a me ka ʻaha kūkā nūhou ma hope o ka hawk: S&P 500 i lalo 6% a i 8%
Ka manawa hoʻouna: Nov-11-2022